How it unfolded
As discussions around the future of the NBA unfold, significant developments have emerged regarding potential expansion into new markets. Oaktree Capital Management, led by Howard Marks, is actively exploring options for NBA expansion in Europe, specifically in collaboration with Olimpia Milano. This initiative signals a broader interest in expanding the NBA’s global footprint.
In the United States, the NBA is preparing to hold a crucial vote to consider adding expansion teams in Las Vegas and Seattle. This vote is a pivotal moment for the league, as it could reshape the landscape of professional basketball in the coming years. Commissioner Adam Silver has indicated that the league will make a decision in 2026 regarding whether to proceed with these expansion plans.
The targeted start for the new franchises in Las Vegas and Seattle is set for the 2028-29 season. This timeline allows the league to carefully evaluate the implications of expansion, both financially and logistically. Proposals for each team are projected to be in the $7-10 billion range, reflecting the soaring valuations of NBA franchises in recent years.
The last time the NBA expanded was in 2004, when the Charlotte Bobcats were introduced as an expansion team. Since then, the league has seen significant growth, with franchise valuations skyrocketing. For instance, the Phoenix Suns were sold for a record $4 billion in December 2022, highlighting the lucrative nature of owning an NBA team.
Seattle, in particular, has been without an NBA team since 2008 when the SuperSonics relocated to Oklahoma City. The return of an NBA franchise to Seattle would be a monumental event for the city and its basketball fans, who have long awaited the revival of their professional basketball presence. The NHL’s successful expansion into Seattle with the Kraken in 2021 serves as a potential model for the NBA’s approach.
As the NBA prepares for these potential expansions, the NCAA Tournament is also approaching, which provides critical opportunities for NBA scouts to observe prospects. The tournament tips off on Thursday, influencing team brackets and player evaluations. Notably, players like Allen Graves, who has a 5.0-percent steal rate for a player his size, are drawing attention for their strong defensive instincts.
The NCAA Tournament represents one important, final opportunity for players to showcase their skills before the draft process begins. With players like Tarris Reed Jr. weighing in at 265 pounds and averaging 16.0 points over the last 10 games, scouts will be keenly watching for talent that could potentially make its way to the NBA.
As the NBA navigates these expansion discussions and the upcoming NCAA Tournament, the implications for the league, its franchises, and aspiring players are significant. The decisions made in the coming years will shape the future of professional basketball in both established and emerging markets.