In the capital city of Nairobi, approximately 6,000 households are among those impacted. The rains have caused flooding in dozens of schools and hospitals across the country. Authorities report that 17 roads have been cut off, complicating rescue efforts.

Additionally, mudslides have forced thousands to evacuate from the western Rift Valley area. The Kenya Meteorological Department has indicated that enhanced rainfall is expected to continue into the first two weeks of May.

This year’s heavy rains began in March, coinciding with the start of the rainy season. By the end of March, more than 100 people were reported dead due to similar weather conditions. Heavy rains in Kenya have historically caused significant damage and loss of life during the rainy season.

The National Police Service announced ongoing search and rescue operations. They confirmed the loss of 18 lives as a result of these incidents, underscoring the grave danger posed by the ongoing weather conditions.

Authorities are on high alert. They advise the public to remain vigilant and take precautionary measures, especially those living in landslide-prone or flood-affected areas. The Ministry of Health has warned about potential waterborne diseases stemming from floodwaters.

As rescue operations continue, officials are working to assess damage and provide assistance to those displaced by flooding. The situation remains critical as communities grapple with the aftermath of this disaster.

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“Kenya Met warns of floods and heat as April long rains peak,” a statement from the Kenya Meteorological Department highlighted, indicating significant weather changes expected across the country.

The department forecasts that most of Kenya will experience near-average rainfall during April, but with notable exceptions. Above-average rainfall is anticipated in the northern counties of Marsabit, Wajir, and Mandera, while the Coast is expected to receive below-average rainfall throughout the month.

Following a wet March that marked the onset of the long rains season, the April outlook presents a mixed bag for various regions. Rainfall distribution will vary across the country, with the first half of April expected to see suppressed rainfall in many areas.

Daytime temperatures are projected to remain above average, particularly in the Coast, North-eastern, and North-western regions, where temperatures could reach around 30 degrees Celsius. In contrast, cooler conditions are expected in the Highlands, Lake Victoria Basin, and Rift Valley.

Farmers in high-rainfall areas face the risk of waterlogging and crop damage, prompting the Kenya Met to urge them to reinforce drainage systems to prevent potential losses. Residents in flood-prone zones are advised to keep drainage channels clear and avoid low-lying areas near rivers.

Communities in northern Kenya have been urged to remain vigilant, avoid riverbanks, and heed evacuation directives in flood-prone zones. This warning comes in light of the 100 lives lost due to the March rains, underscoring the seriousness of the situation.

As the long rains season progresses, the Kenya Meteorological Department anticipates that it will taper off in most parts of the country by late May. The department continues to monitor the situation closely, providing updates as necessary.

Details remain unconfirmed regarding the exact impact of the weather patterns on local agriculture and communities, but the warnings serve as a crucial reminder for preparedness in the face of changing climatic conditions.

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The Kenya Meteorological Department has issued a significant warning for the month of April 2026, indicating that the country may face both floods and heat as the long rains season reaches its peak. The forecast suggests that while most regions will experience near-average rainfall, specific areas, particularly in North-eastern Kenya, are expected to receive above-average precipitation, raising the risk of localized flooding.

In detail, counties such as Marsabit, Wajir, and Mandera are projected to see enhanced rainfall, which could lead to dangerous flooding conditions. This comes on the heels of a wet March that marked the onset of the long rains season, during which approximately 100 lives were lost due to heavy rains. The Kenya Met has cautioned communities in flood-prone areas to clear drainage channels and remain vigilant as the month progresses.

Conversely, the coastal regions of Kenya, including Mombasa, Kilifi, Lamu, and Kwale, are forecasted to receive below-average rainfall throughout April. This disparity in rainfall patterns could exacerbate existing challenges for farmers and residents in these areas. The department noted, “The Coast faces the opposite problem,” highlighting the contrasting weather conditions across the country.

During the first half of April, rainfall is expected to be suppressed across much of Kenya, with occasional afternoon and evening storms likely. However, conditions are anticipated to change towards the end of the month, with intensified rainfall expected. This shift could lead to further complications for agricultural activities, especially for farmers in high-rainfall areas, who have been urged to reinforce drainage systems to prevent waterlogging.

In addition to rainfall concerns, warmer-than-average temperatures are projected for the Coast, North-eastern Kenya, and North-western Kenya. Meanwhile, cooler conditions are expected in the Highlands, the Lake Victoria Basin, and the Rift Valley. The variability in temperatures and rainfall could have significant implications for local agriculture and food security.

Residents in flood-prone zones are advised to keep drainage channels clear and avoid low-lying areas to mitigate risks associated with flash floods, soil erosion, and landslides during heavy rainfall events. The public has been warned to remain alert, as strong winds are also expected along the Kenyan coast, with wave heights ranging from 0.2 to 2.25 meters and wind speeds between 2 to 20 knots, which may affect small boats.

As the month progresses, the situation remains fluid, and details regarding the extent of rainfall and its impacts are still unfolding. The Kenya Met has emphasized the importance of preparedness and vigilance among communities as they navigate the potential challenges posed by the changing weather patterns.

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Heavy rainfall is expected across large parts of Kenya, including Nairobi, starting on the night of March 18 and persisting until the morning of March 24, 2026. The Kenya Meteorological Department has issued warnings as the rains are anticipated to intensify, with rainfall amounts exceeding 20mm in 24 hours during this period.

Counties likely to be affected include Nairobi, Kiambu, Nakuru, Kisumu, Mombasa, Uasin Gishu, Kakamega, Bungoma, Busia, and Nyeri. The rainfall is expected to peak between March 20 and March 23 before easing slightly on March 24.

Residents in landslide-prone areas, particularly over the slopes of the Aberdare ranges, Mount Kenya, and other hilly regions, are advised to stay vigilant due to the increased likelihood of landslides triggered by saturated soils. The advisory classified the rainfall as moderate to heavy, with a probability of occurrence between 33% and 66%.

The government has urged citizens to remain cautious as heavy rains coincide with the Eid al-Fitr holiday, raising the risk of floods and landslides. Flooding has already impacted at least 21 counties, damaging schools, markets, roads, and critical water and electricity infrastructure.

The death toll from recent floods has risen to 73, with seven individuals reported missing and nearly 69,000 people displaced. Multi-agency teams have been deployed to support rescue operations and assist affected families.

Authorities are encouraging the public to closely monitor updates and follow safety guidelines as conditions evolve. “We urge all Kenyans to exercise extra caution, particularly in areas prone to flooding,” stated the Ministry of Interior and National Administration.

As the situation develops, the Kenya Meteorological Department warns, “The rainfall being experienced over several parts of the country is expected to intensify.” This moment calls for heightened vigilance, compassion, and collective responsibility among citizens.

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The question on many residents’ minds is: how will the current weather forecast for Nairobi affect the city? The answer is alarming, as the Kenya Meteorological Department (KMD) has issued an advisory indicating significant intensification of rainfall beginning March 17, 2026. This weather pattern has already led to devastating consequences, including a rising death toll and widespread displacement.

As of now, the death toll from the heavy rains stands at 62 people, with more than half of these fatalities occurring in areas of Nairobi known for their inadequate drainage systems. The situation has been exacerbated by the breaching of the Nairobi and Ngong Rivers, which has resulted in flooding across various neighborhoods. The Kenya Red Cross Society has reported that the flooding has not only claimed lives but also caused extensive damage to homes and public infrastructure.

In response to the ongoing crisis, Kenyan authorities have urged residents in low-lying areas to evacuate to higher ground. This precaution has led to the displacement of at least 2,000 individuals, highlighting the immediate need for emergency assistance. The KMD has identified Nairobi and Central Counties as primary zones of concern for urban flash floods, indicating that the situation could worsen if the heavy rains continue.

The economic implications of this weather event are significant. The Kenya Private Sector Alliance has noted that a single week of flood-induced gridlock can wipe out an entire month of projected profit for small and medium-sized enterprises. This is particularly concerning given that the agricultural sector in Kenya heavily relies on rain-fed smallholder agriculture, with approximately 65 percent of households depending on it for food security. The financial cost of flooding includes paralyzed transport corridors, which severely impact the retail supply chains for perishable goods.

Furthermore, the KMD has indicated that the current weather patterns are characterized by short-duration, high-intensity rainfall events, which pose a challenge for urban planning and disaster preparedness. The Interior Ministry has also stated that further flooding is possible as heavy rains continue, leaving many residents anxious about what lies ahead.

The broader context of this weather event cannot be ignored. The intensity of the 2026 long rains is part of a larger global climate narrative, which has seen increasing weather extremes affecting many regions. As the government’s emergency response teams remain on high alert, the community is left to grapple with the immediate impacts of flooding while also considering the long-term implications for food security and economic stability.

As the situation develops, details remain unconfirmed regarding the full extent of the damage and the number of people affected. However, the urgency for effective response measures is clear, as the community braces for the continuing deluge and its repercussions on daily life in Nairobi.

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