“The rainfall was ‘just right,'” remarked a farmer from Yujing District, reflecting the optimism surrounding recent weather conditions that have benefited local agriculture. This sentiment comes as Tainan experiences a significant increase in rainfall, which has improved conditions for mango production after a dry winter.

Recent reports indicate that Tsengwen Station and Dongshan District’s Yankeng Station recorded 62 mm of rainfall, while areas such as Nanhua and Yujing received more than 50 mm. This precipitation has led to a notable rise in reservoir levels, with combined storage at Tsengwen and Wushantou reservoirs reaching approximately 160.4 million cubic meters.

The Nanhua Reservoir, in particular, now holds about 35.65 million cubic meters, or 41.83 percent of its capacity. This increase in water supply is crucial, as mangoes require sufficient moisture during early fruit development to prevent smaller fruit or fruit drop.

However, the agricultural outlook is not solely dependent on weather patterns. The EU’s climate policy is currently under pressure due to rising carbon and energy prices, exacerbated by geopolitical tensions, including the ongoing war in Iran. This situation complicates the EU’s efforts to establish a climate policy architecture that addresses immediate economic concerns while remaining aligned with long-term climate objectives.

The Global Climate Service has been quantifying the macroeconomic impacts of various climate scenarios against a stated policies baseline, highlighting the interconnectedness of climate policy and economic stability.

As farmers in Tainan celebrate the recent rainfall, they remain aware of the broader implications of climate policy on their livelihoods. The next steps for both local agriculture and EU climate policy will be closely monitored as stakeholders seek to navigate these challenges.

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The Kenya Meteorological Department has issued a significant warning for the month of April 2026, indicating that the country may face both floods and heat as the long rains season reaches its peak. The forecast suggests that while most regions will experience near-average rainfall, specific areas, particularly in North-eastern Kenya, are expected to receive above-average precipitation, raising the risk of localized flooding.

In detail, counties such as Marsabit, Wajir, and Mandera are projected to see enhanced rainfall, which could lead to dangerous flooding conditions. This comes on the heels of a wet March that marked the onset of the long rains season, during which approximately 100 lives were lost due to heavy rains. The Kenya Met has cautioned communities in flood-prone areas to clear drainage channels and remain vigilant as the month progresses.

Conversely, the coastal regions of Kenya, including Mombasa, Kilifi, Lamu, and Kwale, are forecasted to receive below-average rainfall throughout April. This disparity in rainfall patterns could exacerbate existing challenges for farmers and residents in these areas. The department noted, “The Coast faces the opposite problem,” highlighting the contrasting weather conditions across the country.

During the first half of April, rainfall is expected to be suppressed across much of Kenya, with occasional afternoon and evening storms likely. However, conditions are anticipated to change towards the end of the month, with intensified rainfall expected. This shift could lead to further complications for agricultural activities, especially for farmers in high-rainfall areas, who have been urged to reinforce drainage systems to prevent waterlogging.

In addition to rainfall concerns, warmer-than-average temperatures are projected for the Coast, North-eastern Kenya, and North-western Kenya. Meanwhile, cooler conditions are expected in the Highlands, the Lake Victoria Basin, and the Rift Valley. The variability in temperatures and rainfall could have significant implications for local agriculture and food security.

Residents in flood-prone zones are advised to keep drainage channels clear and avoid low-lying areas to mitigate risks associated with flash floods, soil erosion, and landslides during heavy rainfall events. The public has been warned to remain alert, as strong winds are also expected along the Kenyan coast, with wave heights ranging from 0.2 to 2.25 meters and wind speeds between 2 to 20 knots, which may affect small boats.

As the month progresses, the situation remains fluid, and details regarding the extent of rainfall and its impacts are still unfolding. The Kenya Met has emphasized the importance of preparedness and vigilance among communities as they navigate the potential challenges posed by the changing weather patterns.

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The question on many residents’ minds is: how will the current weather forecast for Nairobi affect the city? The answer is alarming, as the Kenya Meteorological Department (KMD) has issued an advisory indicating significant intensification of rainfall beginning March 17, 2026. This weather pattern has already led to devastating consequences, including a rising death toll and widespread displacement.

As of now, the death toll from the heavy rains stands at 62 people, with more than half of these fatalities occurring in areas of Nairobi known for their inadequate drainage systems. The situation has been exacerbated by the breaching of the Nairobi and Ngong Rivers, which has resulted in flooding across various neighborhoods. The Kenya Red Cross Society has reported that the flooding has not only claimed lives but also caused extensive damage to homes and public infrastructure.

In response to the ongoing crisis, Kenyan authorities have urged residents in low-lying areas to evacuate to higher ground. This precaution has led to the displacement of at least 2,000 individuals, highlighting the immediate need for emergency assistance. The KMD has identified Nairobi and Central Counties as primary zones of concern for urban flash floods, indicating that the situation could worsen if the heavy rains continue.

The economic implications of this weather event are significant. The Kenya Private Sector Alliance has noted that a single week of flood-induced gridlock can wipe out an entire month of projected profit for small and medium-sized enterprises. This is particularly concerning given that the agricultural sector in Kenya heavily relies on rain-fed smallholder agriculture, with approximately 65 percent of households depending on it for food security. The financial cost of flooding includes paralyzed transport corridors, which severely impact the retail supply chains for perishable goods.

Furthermore, the KMD has indicated that the current weather patterns are characterized by short-duration, high-intensity rainfall events, which pose a challenge for urban planning and disaster preparedness. The Interior Ministry has also stated that further flooding is possible as heavy rains continue, leaving many residents anxious about what lies ahead.

The broader context of this weather event cannot be ignored. The intensity of the 2026 long rains is part of a larger global climate narrative, which has seen increasing weather extremes affecting many regions. As the government’s emergency response teams remain on high alert, the community is left to grapple with the immediate impacts of flooding while also considering the long-term implications for food security and economic stability.

As the situation develops, details remain unconfirmed regarding the full extent of the damage and the number of people affected. However, the urgency for effective response measures is clear, as the community braces for the continuing deluge and its repercussions on daily life in Nairobi.

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